Thursday 5 April 2012

3 Polls Affirm NDP Tied With Conservatives

The other day I wrote about 2 polls that showed the NDP tied with Conservatives for support. A third poll with more recent data affirms this trend. Harris-Decima has released their poll results (March 22-April 2) that show:

National support:
Conservatives 34%
NDP 32%
(a statistical tie between the NDP and the Conservatives)
Liberals 19%
Green 8%
Bloc 6%

The NDP are leading in BC (44%), Quebec (39%), and Atlantic Canada (36%). The 2 regions that the NDP lead in all three polls are BC and Quebec.

Some other numbers of note from the poll:


  • The NDP has surged back in front in Quebec. Here, they stand at 39%, to 24% for the BQ, 14% for the Liberals, 14% for the Conservatives, and 8% for the Greens.
  • The Conservatives are well in front in Ontario. The Conservatives stand at 41%, to 26% for the NDP, 24% for the Liberals, and 8% for the Greens.
  • The NDP holds a strong lead in BC. Here, they stand at 44%, to 30% for the Conservatives, 13% for the Liberals, and 11% for the Greens.
  • The Conservatives remain in front on the Prairies. In Manitoba and Saskatchewan, they stand at 45%, to 34% for the NDP, 13% for the Liberals, and 7% for the Greens. In Alberta the Conservatives are at 54%, to 19% for the NDP, 16% for the Liberals, and 8% for the Greens.
  • In Atlantic Canada, the NDP stands at 36%, to 30% for the Conservatives, 30% for the Liberals, and 3% for the Greens.
All of these polls show an overall trend when compared to the election: the Conservatives loosing ground, the NDP gaining ground, the Liberals stagnating and the Bloc and Green bouncing back slightly.

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